He said there won't be enough manufacturing capability to support production of 80 million tablets and other devices such as e-readers in 2011, as some analysts predict.
But he also said that tablets can be seen as "part of a broader computing experience [where] tablets make e-readers more valuable."
Ultimately, he said, "Multiple tablet devices can co-exist and serve different market segments and survey any type of consolidation."
Price will obviously have a bearing on what tablet models survive for a year, but Dubravac said he doesn't expect a drastic reduction in prices for tablets in 2011, at least as much as some e-readers went down in cost in 2010.
CEA's survey found that $335 is the "optimal" price consumers want to pay for a tablet, although that is far below the iPad's $629 starting price.
However, that's not so far below $400 for the Galaxy Tab when purchased with a two-year service plan from some carriers.
Matt Hamblen covers mobile and wireless, smartphones and other handhelds, and wireless networking for Computerworld. Follow Matt on Twitter at @matthamblen or subscribe to Matt's RSS feed. His email address is firstname.lastname@example.org.
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