April 20, 2009

Big iron: The ultimate cloud platform?

Run the numbers, and it makes economic sense to consolidate the cloud onto mainframes

Get out your notepads and get ready for the mainframe resurgence. Tell your friends you heard it here. I'm not talking about a UNIVAC comeback, or Burroughs Large 2.0. I'm telling you, dear readers, that now's a good time to invest in the few remaining big iron dealers: IBM, Unisys, Hitachi, and Fujitsu, baby. Why, you ask? Because mainframes solve the cloud's impending challenges.

High-performance? Check. Secure? Check. Worth their proverbial weight in x86 boxes? Check. The more businesses move into the cloud, the closer we'll get to coming full circle. I'm talking Linux partitions on mainframes. Eventually the sheer number of x86 boxes involved will mean it makes monetary sense to consolidate. Some say cloud computing is the reincarnation of the mainframe. While I'm not sure that mainframe manufacturers would tell you they need reincarnating; I do think the cloud will soon be stickered "Powered by Big Iron."

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Back in the day, we started out with mainframes. Shocking for you youngsters, I know. Turns out mainframes were too large and expensive for basic computing applications, so the industry developed cheaper processors and put a server in everyone's hands in the form of pizza boxes and x86 machines.

Soon we learned that when any monkey can purchase and implement a new x86 server in a few minutes, datacenters get fat. To combat the sprawl, we patted ourselves on the back as we created virtualization. All we really created was virtual sprawl. We replaced the ability to easily add a physical server with the ability to point-and-click to spawn a virtual server. Funny how the 1960s mainframe could shoot some holes in both of these problems. Sure, they're large and awkward, and they require a cooling system the size of my Honda, but they can do the work of an army of x86 boxes.

I'm sure my hawk-eyed audience spotted my usage of the past tense above -- especially since I italicized it. I started digging into the numbers and here's what I found. You can purchase a Linux-capable IBM z8 series for as little as $40,000 plus an external disk array and network equipment. You can add additional IFLs for as little as $95,000, according to IBM's 2008 pricing. Even at a conservative consolidation ration of 10:1, that already sounds reasonable. I know what you're thinking: The z8 is two series old.

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oldfogey 20-Apr-09 11:06am
"If you cut your teeth on a mainframe, you know I'm right." I'm one of these, cut most of a mouthful. I don't know how to directly relate the mainframe $ I heard in the early '90s to your scenario - Corporate datacenter VP said 400MIPS went from $51M to $17M for the then new IBM, when comparable MIPS on ATs or 386s was $500K, so the price difference has changed dramatically since then; so now, mainframes for clouds make no-brainer sense.

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