April 28, 2009

Offshoring has taken a hit, but may come back even stronger

When the economy gets better, they may start buying U.S. consultancies and transfer that work abroad, too

IT professionals may take some short-term comfort in the fact that outsourcing, an industry segment that should be growing as companies look for ways to reduce costs, is actually seeing slow gains along with the rest of the economy. But there are signs that when outsourcing comes back, it may take even more jobs away.

I spoke with two outsourcing experts to confirm this: Ashok Vemuri, global head of Banking and Capital Markets for Infosys Technologies, and Tom Pettibone, managing partner for Transition Partners, an outsourcing consultancy.

[ Beware the false promise of easy savings from outsourcing. Find out how a bad partnership could cripple your company for years. ]

Wait-and-see while the economy remains uncertain
However, both executives say the current slowdown in outsourcing may indeed be very temporary. Pettibone says companies are simply taking a wait-and-see approach. Unsure of where they are going to be in six to eight months, they are not yet ready to make a long-term outsourcing commitment. But it may come.

"Outsourcing takes a commitment on the part of the IT shops. If a shop is going to do certain projects in India, you have to go to India and establish relationships and systems. They are not ready to do that yet," says Pettibone. Instead, they are saying let's see what happens to sales and revenue projections first. If business does pick up, a company will then commit to an outsourcing deal where they believe, according to traditional business logic, they will save money through labor arbitrage (business jargon that means essentially "chase the lowest-cost labor").

Still, until companies feel confident enough to commit to a contract, outsourcers are in for bleak times. And in the meantime, things could be getting even bleaker.

Will offshorers buy up U.S. jobs to transfer home?
Despite the slowdown in offshoring contracts, Vemuri says Infosys is shopping around to buy an American consultancy -- and possibly a European consultancy -- to supplement or complement its front-end consulting capabilities. "We are sitting on $2 billion in cash," Vemuri tells me.

However, unlike other foreign companies that plant a flag in the United States and go on to open up job opportunities here -- I'm thinking of the auto industry in particular -- Pettibone warns that if Infosys buys a U.S. company, it may be buying just the clients and taking the work back to India. It's a clear example of more of that "labor arbitrage" I was talking about.

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res17 28-Apr-09 7:36am
The reason the USA has the highest standard of living is because we have high paying jobs. Offshoring is working to kill that America Dream. Offshoring is a lot of the reason we have the highest unemployment since the 1930's. Business wants to unload their American workers but then are confused why unemployed consumers stop buying their products. It really isn't hard to understand. STOP OFFSHORING. Hire Americans and the economy will grow. Keep firing Americans and the economy will continue it's death spiral. It isn't complicated.
cmaurand 28-Apr-09 11:22am
Your kidding right? Do you read the news outside of technology? The Obama administration is going to close a lot of the tax loopholes that make off-shoring advantageous as they should. I expect that is going to happen in the next budget cycle.
ITburnout 29-Apr-09 7:22am
Offshoring causes more problems than just putting Americans out of work, although that is the biggest problem. There is a lanquage barrier. If the code needed is complex the offshore programmers can't understand what is needed thereby delaying the project and costing more money and causing more problems than if the company had of stayed with good old American know how in the first place. There is also no motivation to get it done correctly or on time. It can be a nightmare specially when combined with outsourcing and offshoring. Talk about the blind leading the blind. And of course managemnt is baffled as to what the problem is.
Grant 15-May-09 3:24am
Totally agree with your comments that offshoring business is the biggest problem for America in this recession period.And most companies in America looking for offshore business due to low cost input and high output.That's why more and more people in America got pink slip. ___________________________________________________________ And if you looking for outsourcing jobs in U.K then here is a chance to grab the opportunity.We are one of the best U.k outsourcing consultant. To Know More Visit:Outsourcing U.K Jobs

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