October 30, 2009

IT employment may be stabilizing after loss of 250,000 jobs

There are signs of an end to the IT job loss freefall, but two-thirds of IT workers have either seen their salaries go down or remain flat

The apparent turn in the U.S. economy may have put the brakes on the IT job loss freefall, according to some new data.

Since last November, IT employment has declined by nearly 250,000 jobs, or 6 percent, after peaking that month at 4.058 million jobs. However, only 1,100 jobs were lost in August, or a .03 percent decline, according to the TechServe Alliance, an Alexandria, Va.-based industry group that conducts an ongoing analysis of IT occupation data compiled by U.S.

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Mark Roberts, CEO of the alliance, which represents IT services companies, consultants, and staffing firms that will be among the first to hire out of a recession, said his member firms are indicating that they are expecting more work. IT employment losses began moderating in June.

"Folks are very optimistic about the future based on what they are hearing from their clients. They feel there is a lot of pent-up demand," Roberts said.

The U.S. Commerce Department reported Thursday that the U.S. economy grew by a 3.5 percent annual rate in the last quarter.

But IT employment is in a trough and so is the pay, according to David Foote, who heads Foote Partners, a Vero Beach, Fla.-based research group that studies IT compensation. Foote said about two-thirds of IT workers have either seen their salaries go down or remain flat over the last year.

"The economy is having a huge impact on [employers] just having the freedom to pay what they want," Foote said.

Jobs board Dice.com reported 53,400 jobs posted Thursday, compared with 75,600 in November.

Nonetheless, Foote said there remain many IT skills that are increasing in value, especially in SAP and security.

Analysts aren't predicting a fast recovery. Research firm Gartner recently said IT spending wouldn't return to 2008 levels until 2012.

It's difficult to know the impact of IT consolidations on the job market, including layoffs associated with the pending acquisition of Sun Microsystems by Oracle as well as last year's takeover of Electronic Data Systems by Hewlett-Packard, on the total labor market. Moreover, IT jobs continue to move overseas.

In sum, while there may be signs of a stabilizing IT job market, there is still a lot of ground to make up with this year's job losses as well as to make room for those entering the technology field. Foote said the volatility in IT pay is an indication that the hiring recovery will be a slow road.

Computerworld is an InfoWorld affiliate.

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Trencher93 30-Oct-09 11:46am
"there remain many IT skills that are increasing in value, especially in SAP and security" What do you know ... SAP skills are still scarce? SAP is the perennial job that is always in demand, because SAP is a big, proprietary system that's almost impossible to get any experience with unless you already have experience. Anyone who wanted to learn it (not me) can't download it, set it up and play with it, etc. I don't know how anyone gets experience with it. The only surprise is that this perennial skill is increasing in value, which means there are fewer people who are working with SAP. BTW, the real problem with reports like this is that they treat all IT jobs as equal, lumping in an experienced J2EE developer with the guy who plugs in CAT-5 cables in cubicles. Hard to really make anything out of the numbers. It would be like forecasting baseball salaries and jobs by lumping in major league free agents with winter-league prospects. The huge spread skews everything.
darklight777 31-Oct-09 9:35pm
Basically this article is saying that companies are going to be spending more on IT in the next year than they have over the last year. I'm not sure if this is necessarily true but if it is, it will be interesting to see which parts of Information Technology get investment and which parts will continue to be cut. I sincerely hope that business managers realize that sound IT solutions take time (sometimes years) to fully develop and mature, and good IT people are worth investing in for the long haul. DL

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